| چکیده انگلیسی مقاله |
Main Research Question: This study explores the main question: “What behavioral model does the Islamic Republic of Iran follow in its engagement with regional conflicts?” It aims to construct a conceptual framework for analyzing Iran’s conduct in regional disputes and crises. The research is motivated by the lack of a coherent theoretical model in the existing literature, despite Iran’s foreign policy often being described as variably aggressive, defensive, or pragmatic. The study situates Iran’s behavior within the rapidly shifting geopolitical dynamics of the Middle East and West Asia. Research Hypothesis: In addressing this question, the study proposes the hypothesis of “exigency pragmatism According to this hypothesis, Iran adopts a security-centric and pragmatic approach in regional conflicts, characterized by defensive, tactical, and situational responses that prioritize regime survival and national security. This perspective seeks to reconcile identity-driven (ideological) motives with geopolitical imperatives, positioning Iran’s behavior at the intersection of structural constraints and agency-based choices. Conceptual Framework: To articulate Iran’s behavioral model, the concept of “exigency pragmatism” is developed as a dual construct: The term “exigency” captures the sense of acute threat and external constraints that shape decision-making. “Pragmatism” reflects Iran’s emphasis on instrumental rationality and policy flexibility in the face of complex challenges. Departing from conventional paradigms in international relations, the framework introduces a set of indicators to better explain Iran’s conflict-oriented behavior: Situational and single-dimensional pragmatism Convergence of threat urgency with action urgency Operational environment taking precedence over formal diplomacy Cooperative tendencies in conflicts along connected borders Competitive behavior in conflicts along disconnected borders Offensive defense posture A hybrid model of comprehensive defense and limited offense Key Findings: Through qualitative and comparative analysis, the article examines Iran’s behavior across a range of regional conflicts, including Afghanistan, Iraq, Syria, Lebanon, Yemen, Palestine, and the South Caucasus (Nagorno-Karabakh). The findings reveal: In border-adjacent conflicts (e.g., Iraq and Afghanistan), Iran has pursued threat mitigation via diplomatic engagement, support for central governments, and alliance-building with local actors. In Syria, Iran engaged militarily to preserve the “axis of resistance” and participated in diplomatic initiatives. However, it was unsuccessful in facilitating economic stabilization or institutional consolidation, contributing to the erosion of the Assad regime’s political capacity. In Yemen and Palestine, Iran adopted an indirect strategy aimed at weakening regional rivals—namely Saudi Arabia and Israel—through military and political support for non-state actors. In Lebanon, Iran utilized Hezbollah as a strategic deterrent against Israel, while preserving Lebanon’s internal political balance. In the Nagorno-Karabakh conflict, contrary to popular narratives, Iran adopted a cautious and balanced posture, maintaining relations with both Armenia and Azerbaijan. Collectively, these case studies demonstrate that Iran’s foreign policy is not driven by a rigidly aggressive or purely ideological logic. Instead, it is shaped by cost-benefit assessments, tactical flexibility, and a security-driven pragmatism responsive to contextual demands. Conclusion: This research introduces “exigency pragmatism” as a novel conceptual framework for understanding the Islamic Republic’s regional behavior. Challenging binary interpretations that portray Iran as either an ideologically motivated or strictly geopolitical actor, the study argues that Iran operates within a volatile and competitive environment, seeking to safeguard its security, maintain influence, and navigate systemic uncertainties. The outcomes of exigency pragmatism are dual-faceted: Positively, it has enhanced Iran’s flexibility, operational resilience, and capacity to engage in multiple conflict zones without escalating into full-scale wars. It has also allowed Iran to subordinate ideological commitments to strategic and security considerations. Negatively, it has produced a tactical dominance over strategic planning, fostering a reactive and crisis-driven foreign policy, privileging field operations over diplomacy. This has resulted in resource overstretch, the neglect of economic interests in conflict zones, and an absence of clear strategies for post-conflict reconstruction and long-term stabilization. In summary, while exigency pragmatism has enabled Iran to act effectively in unstable contexts, it has simultaneously hindered the institutionalization of strategic goals in periods of relative calm—revealing both the strengths and limitations of Iran’s current regional posture. |