Journal of Biostatistics and Epidemiology، جلد ۱۱، شماره ۱، صفحات ۵۰-۶۲

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عنوان انگلیسی Understanding premature mortality patterns from Non–Communicable Diseases in Iran (2012-2020)
چکیده انگلیسی مقاله Background: More than 85% of premature deaths from major non-communicable diseases (NCDs) occur in low- and middle-income countries. Objectives: This study aimed to investigate trends of premature deaths (30-70 years) due to the non-communicable diseases in Iran, from 2012 to 2020. Methods: Data on causes of death from 2012 to 2020 was extracted from the death registration system of the Ministry of Health and Medical Education. To calculate completeness of death registration system, we used the new method presented by Adair and Lopez, which is based on the fixed effects model for predicting completeness of data from death registration system. Results: Non-communicable diseases from 2012 to 2020 accounted for percentages of all deaths: 70.47, 69.13, 72.19, 70.55, 68.98, 69.44, 69.17, 67.94 and 54.15 percent of all deaths, respectively. Premature deaths due to these diseases during the years of this study ranged from 50% to 71% of premature deaths. The probability of premature deaths due to these diseases in these years was as follows:  17.35, 16.65, 16.61, 15.60, 14.95, 15.15, 15.25, 16.63 and 15.81 percent, respectively. Conclusions: With the knowledge that the most common cause of premature death in women is non-communicable disease and the most common cause in the general population is cardiovascular disease, evidence-based planning and policy-making should be done to achieve further reductions in premature mortality, with an approach to be adopted in a unified way by focusing on modifiable risk factors in different sectors and disciplines in Iran.
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نویسندگان مقاله | Batoul Rabbani
MD, Community Medicine Specialist



نشانی اینترنتی https://jbe.tums.ac.ir/index.php/jbe/article/view/1450
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